Home Latest NFL Week 3 Quarterback Rankings | Fantasy Football News, Rankings and Projections...

NFL Week 3 Quarterback Rankings | Fantasy Football News, Rankings and Projections – Pro Football Focus

Ads

For these rankings, I utilize a statistical technique called Bayesian Updating to solve the sample size issues. It is a method PFF has used many times in the past, notably when we looked at a number of different draft classes and why the New York Jets needed to draft a quarterback in 2021.
With Bayesian Updating, we can use the dynamics of the historical quarterback market and individual results to project their PFF grades and expected points added (EPA) per play. Even in a single season, there can be drastic differences in sample sizes for quarterbacks. This means that comparing unadjusted rate stats side by side can give too much credit to those who aren’t a big part of their offense and too little credit for those who dominate as their team’s No. 1.
You can find details of how Bayesian Updating is implemented here, including a primer on how we build a posterior belief (or projection) based on historical quarterback results and then update the beliefs (projections) for each quarterback with their actual NFL results on a play-by-play basis.
Before I dive straight into the PFF analytical quarterback rankings, I’ve provided some visualizations to give proper context to how these quarterbacks performed in PFF grade and EPA per play and some important data splits that show the potential for regression moving forward.
total grade vs epa per play 2022 1
Josh Allen has the best PFF offensive grade and efficiency in terms of EPA per play. Jalen Hurts has the second highest grade, and Patrick Mahomes is second in efficiency, but his PFF grade ranks ninth.

Subscribe to PFF+ to continue reading

Already have a subscription? Sign In


Already have a subscription? Sign In
Available with
PFF’s Fantasy Football Expected Points tool is primarily used for identifying potential over and undervalued players.
Available with
Research past fantasy performance with sortable player stats including PFF-exclusives like aDOT and fantasy points per opportunity.
Available with
PFF’s Fantasy Strength of Schedule (SoS) metric provides a league-wide, season-long view of opponent matchups for each fantasy position.
Available with
Unlock all tools and content including Player Grades, Fantasy, NFL Draft, Premium Stats, Greenline and DFS.

source

Ads
Ads
Previous articleiPhone 14 Pro Max review – Tom's Guide
Next articleTennessee basketball announces Market Square Madness fan event to kick off 2022-23 season – Knoxville News Sentinel
Anand works as a work from home journalist based in Trivandrum, Kerala, India. Anand had contributed content for various websites and also worked as a chief technical editor for ASPAlliance.com. He also contributed content for several print magazines like DevPro (formerly asp.netPRO) and his headshot appeared on the front page of the July 2006 issue of the magazine.